Friday, April 30, 2010

Moving the fight to another local

So I tried to comment but it wouldn't let me, not sure why. Thus a new post.

This is going to be really long, but whatever, its fun. But don't expect too much out of me just because I am studying economics; I only know the math behind macroeconomics (and its gross) and there is a gap between that and the political realities. However, I gotta say that I agree wholeheartedly with both Jeff and Matt (sorry Gee). And here's why.

As Jeff points out it is ridiculous to say that the Fed has created inflation and when I read it I imagined Rothbard leaning back on his chair and just laughing at the people who would believe that. There is no way that he can believe that, or if he does I'm just going to laugh at him. Inflation has existed since the inception of banking. And if we later try to pin the blame of speculative crises on the Fed lets just remember that they are older than the Fed too (the Mormon historians in the group - I'm talking to you Gee - will recall the year 1837 with the Kirtland Safety Society forming just a small part of a broader national run on the banks).

And as Matt asked, what else would we do? I've thought about that a bit and I'm going to continue to do so, but I can't think of anything better. The reason is that I think the incentives are aligned such that there is little reason to not perform in the office to the best of your ability.

If this weren't the case you would hear of scandals. And this is major complaint of mine with the text thus far (and I read a little further than the schedule). So much is made about the potential abuses of power BUT NO MENTION OF ACTUAL ABUSE IS MADE. So my question is, what has the Fed done wrong to warrant this? And I would posit that there really isn't much that they can do. Think about the potential sins that they could commit: greed and power.

First lets think about greed. One thing the members of the Fed could do is to use the knowledge they have of future measures to reduce/increase the money supply to do some insider trading. That could be done by buying/shorting stocks that are particularly sensitive to interest rate movements or buying/selling other currencies. So, a minimum requirement for me to believe that members of the Fed are exploiting their knowledge for their own personal financial gain is at least one allegation of "insider trading". To my knowledge there is none. It is true that both Volcker and Greenspan have made quite a bit of money for themselves AFTER leaving the Fed (both went on to work with various financial institutions like i-banks and to write memoirs and give speechs at exorbitant rates and Volcker is currently a member of the Obama administration) but there have been no public allegations of personal gains due to insider knowledge and none have been made about their underlings. In fact, I believe there are regulations in place to curtail this possibility. And as members of the society which they regulate they personally benefit from the stability and growth that are the goals of the Fed.

Now lets think about power. Members of the Fed could simply get drunk on power because, as the book rightly states, their organization is the most powerful on Earth and their chairperson the most powerful person on Earth (though most don't realize it). The most common misuse of power, apart from financial gain, is the exploitation and manipulation of other people. So the minute that Ben Bernancke gets his own TV show and starts televangelizing to the rest of American society then I will be the first person on this anti-Fed bandwagon but currently the exploitation of power does not appear to be a sin that members of the Fed are guilty of committing. So, either they are just way better than everyone else at hiding their abuses of power or this whole anti-Fed notion is overblown.

I will say that I am concerned about the growing connection between the Fed and the Treasury. With this most recent financial crisis and the Fed's joint cooperation with the Treasury in the bailout of the banks its been revealed that the Fed is not as separated from the political sphere as it was intended to be. Rothbard states that the separation from political oversight is a problem with the Fed and I couldn't disagree more. The disconnect between the Fed and party politics allows for an approximate benevolent social planner - and its not because the people are benevolent rather, as I've stated, the incentives are aligned such that there is little if any reason to exploit positions for personal gain (which is something that cannot be said for any political position). The more connected the Fed becomes with the Treasury and thus with the administration and thus with the parties and the Congress the more discriminatory bailouts we will see.

I'm out.

3 comments:

  1. Brennen mentioned dealing with the "issue of the ability to create money via fractional reserve banking" I believe it was your idea to discontinue this practice. This is a key component of capitalism and will always exist when someone has money (or the promise that someone will give them money) and someone else needs money. The only way to eliminate this practice would be to go right back to where we started with more regulation, because, as Matt mentioned, it is in every bank's individual interest to leverage. Perhaps they would not be as leveraged as they were 2 years ago because of the excessive risks that brings, but there is no doubt they would leverage, thus expanding the money supply.

    I think Evan also pointed out well that the members of the Fed are not a corrupt group and there is little/no evidence that they have abused their power for personal benefit. Although I do still see problems that could arise with their ownership model. The Chairman of the Fed and its executive team are no more than C-level executives in a private corporation with the sole objective of generating wealth for shareholders. This is where I do have very strong negative opinions towards the current system. Who owns the Fed? The US gov't doesn't own a single share. An individual cannot buy a share in the open market. The sole owners are member banks. They make a guaranteed 6% dividend a year,guaranteed by law (not bad at all, I would buy shares if I could).

    This is the lesser of the financial gain that member banks receive from the Fed. These private institutions control our country's money supply. If the Fed had to make a choice between doing what is best for the public and doing what is best for the banks, they would choose the banks. Representing the best interests of their shareholders is their fiduciary responsibility. In most cases, what is good for one is good for both, but the situation could arise, and probably has in the past where the Fed supports measures that increase bank profits while hurting the average citizen.

    I heard praises from several Swiss people about their Central Bank, and that it is one of the main reasons for their country's prosperity. Their central bank is owned 49% by the individual states and 51% by Swiss citizens. They are bought on sold in the stock exchange like any other major corporation....

    Giving this power away to private bankers is not only against our best interests but is also unconstitutional.
    Article 1, Section 8 of the US Constitution specifically says that Congress is the only body that can "coin money and regulate the value thereof." We have already concluded that the Fed creates bills and regulates their value. One last quote I found interesting and foretelling that I am sure will arise somewhere in our book:

    "If the America people ever allow private banks to control the issuance of their currencies, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all their prosperity until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." - Thomas Jefferson.

    So, in conclusion. In several posts I have defended the Feds need for existence, but I entirely disagree with its current ownership model.

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  2. I think that is an interesting idea Jeff. I had never even considered the idea of having a publicly traded central bank. But I wonder what potential problems this could have. I mean my basic concern is who does the bank serve, the stockholders or the citizens? I don't think that it is safe to assume that they are one and the same and if they aren't the same then do they differ in a systematic way. A probable situation is that the stocks are owned by the elite. I think a very prevalent temptation for the chairpeople (depending on how they are compensated and how they are selected) would be to focus their efforts on increasing shareholder value and if so this equates to serving only the elite. This would lead to exploitation of the lower classes (not shocking or uncommon) and would in my opinion lead to more and more bubbles.

    This is just one potential problem I see with my limited knowledge of Swiss banking. However, it could be remedied with effective compensatorial strategie.

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  3. I agree with Evan, the greed of a publicly owned central bank is highly questionable. Unfortunately, the incentive of most public Company’s is short term profitability. Good management teams look at long term effects, but too often short term compensation blinds management.

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